Surprise!

Life is full of surprises and according to some politicos, the 2012 election will have its share. First, Michael Medved conservative political writer suggests that Obama is going to garner thousands to millions of votes over Romney and Mitt will win the electoral college. Thus, we are back to 2000 and Bush vs. Gore. The Supreme Court then votes 5-4 for Romney and he becomes our next president. Medved suggests that a divided country becomes even more so.

The Chris Matthews show on MSNBC suggests that the new Super Pacs from Corporations has almost limitless money. The Wisconsin showdown to recall the Governor may become the new template for elections. The winner has incredible amounts of money to frame issues (especially on cable television, AM radio, and the internet) and to pay “volunteers.” The corporate candidate is almost always the winner.

Third, again thousands to millions can no longer vote. The disenfranchised go to the polls anyway to protest their loss of the ability to vote. Chaos ensues. Waldman of The American Prospect suggests that elections in the future of our country will become evermore tumultuous.

Questions explode about voting limits, financial support, and Super Pacs. Nearly all the spots opened for advertisement of candidates and issues of the November election are purchased. Further, this author has not found any saying that Super Pacs can’t constantly campaign all year and at all times of the day. Watch Oil company ads that are on many times each day.They are not selling a good or a service. Rather, they are selling themselves and their agenda.

Will most of this happen? Don’t know. The Behavioral methodologies use of math models can confuse us because it is hard to put surprises, black swans, outliers, unintended bifurcations or any other term in the model. So information explodes into dust.

These scenarios are just that. Further since it is in print and has been published, does not make it true or valid? Chaos theory and life itself is humbling . You become smarter when you understand that you are not so smart. Some folks call that wisdom.